2024 Election Season

[devnull]

10 minutes ago, Crap Throwing Clavin said:

 

There's no particular way to "average" interest rates that's going to make a hell of a lot of sense.  

 

Most sensible way would be to take the prime rate daily, every day for a time period, and average over that.  I've never heard of anyone doing that, though.

 

I suspect to your typical person "average" sounds great in general, but they don't have the knowledge of statistics to understand that averaging a time series isn't as simple as averaging a random set.

 

So what you're saying is the interest rate is really 3.5?

[Crap Throwing Clavin]

3 minutes ago, devnull said:

 

So what you're saying is the interest rate is really 3.5?

 

No, just saying if it's not, it's wrong.

[Uncle Joe]

Regarding this interest rate thing, I wish Powell would have tightened things up years ago. But Trump badgered him into keeping rates low so he could have "the best stock market ever" (said in Trump's voice). Obama era low interest rates were unsustainable so Biden is paying for the after affect of rate tightening. However Biden’s other economic policies have poured gasoline on the fire. Heck Biden made it explode like a lithium battery. 

[Fansince88]

9 hours ago, Ann said:

Who's in Elise Stefanik's district?  

And people think the Ds are going to stop? Trump was correct. It isn't really him they are after, he's just in the way. It is YOU they are after. 
 

Dem Congressional Candidate Wants Nazi-esque ‘Reeducation Camps’ for MAGA Supporters

 

Paula Collins, the Democrat challenging Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.), publicly announced her idea during a public Zoom townhall this week. 

 

"Even if we were to have a resounding blue wave come through, as many of us would like, putting it all back together again after we’ve gone through this MAGA nightmare and re-educating basically, which, that sounds like a rather, a re-education camp. I don’t think we really want call it that," Collins said. "I’m sure we can find another way to phrase it." 

 

"This radical New York City Democrat Socialist who literally is renting a bed and breakfast room in NY-21 was caught on tape saying she wants to force Trump voters through ‘re-education camps,’" Alex DeGrasse, a senior advisor to Elise Stefanik, told Fox News Digital. "Everyone knows she will be defeated by Elise Stefanik by a historic margin." 

 

</snip>

Elise has been kicking the tail of the chalangers for years now. She is in a strongly Red part of the state. That said, redistricting could ruin that. My district and have voted for her every time. 

Edited June 7 by Fansince88

[Fansince88]

5 hours ago, Ann said:

 

Early 2021? 

My son is building a house. (Im building it with his cash) last spring he was told the interest rates were 8.25. They have gone up since. Those advertised rates, nobody gets. That daid, he is into it 90k cash at the moment and plans to be complete enough to move in come fall with no loans. Making his dad proud. 

[Fansince88]

3 hours ago, Uncle Joe said:

Regarding this interest rate thing, I wish Powell would have tightened things up years ago. But Trump badgered him into keeping rates low so he could have "the best most beautiful stock market ever" (said in Trump's voice). Obama era low interest rates were unsustainable so Biden is paying for the after affect of rate tightening. However Biden’s other economic policies have poured gasoline on the fire. Heck Biden made it explode like a lithium battery. 

FiFY

[Ann]

13 minutes ago, Fansince88 said:

My son is building a house. (Im building it with his cash) last spring he was told the interest rates were 8.25. They have gone up since. Those advertised rates, nobody gets. That daid, he is into it 90k cash at the moment and plans to be complete enough to move in come fall with no loans. Making his dad proud. 

My son and DIL are in at 3%. He says the next house has to be cash at these interest rates. I don't blame him at all.
 

[Fansince88]

1 minute ago, Ann said:

My son and DIL are in at 3%. He says the next house has to be cash at these interest rates. I don't blame him at all.
 

How long ago? While we are in the construction faze it would have been 10.75%

[Nanker]

 

 

[Billsandhorns]

36 minutes ago, Nanker said:

 

 

I think he was a Democrat and left the party because he saw them changing.

[Jabba The Hutt]

1 hour ago, Ann said:

My son and DIL are in at 3%. He says the next house has to be cash at these interest rates. I don't blame him at all.
 

 

1 hour ago, Fansince88 said:

How long ago? While we are in the construction faze it would have been 10.75%

We hit a good stretch a couple weeks ago and got locked in at 6.625% for a VA Loan. Only 1 percent higher than our 2019 loan and 2% higher than our 2016 loan. We'll take it at this point. 5 days until closing!

Edited June 8 by Jabba The Hutt

[Crap Throwing Clavin]

12 minutes ago, Jabba The Hutt said:

 

We hit a good stretch a couple weeks ago and got locked in at 6.625% for a VA Loan. Only 1 percent higher than our 2019 loan and 2% higher than our 2016 loan. We'll take it at this point. 5 days until closing!

 

The only reason I haven't moved from DC yet is because we have a mortgage at less than 2%.

 

We refi'd a while ago from a 30 year (with about 25 left) to a 15 year, and our mortgage payments went down.  That was a complete no-brainer.

[Nelson59]

I heard that the Monroe County Vital Records office will not forward death notices to the Board of Elections stating HIPPA. What more bull$hit can they come up with?

 

Also, checki with those who have moved out of state.

[RochesterRob]

32 minutes ago, Nelson59 said:

I heard that the Monroe County Vital Records office will not forward death notices to the Board of Elections stating HIPPA. What more bull$hit can they come up with?

 

Also, checki with those who have moved out of state.

  My BIL was a resident of Monroe County who died in 2024.  My wife is handling his affairs so I can tell you how notifying the BOE will go.  The death happened in January and she has yet to get a death certificate.  

[Keukasmallie]

So the implication here is that 11/2024 is gearing up to be pretty much like every other national election:  Corrupt in extremis.

[Deranged Rhino]

 

[Deranged Rhino]

Tone. Deaf. 

 

 

[Spartacus]

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/right-wing-tsunami-nationalists-ascendant-euro-parliament-vote-le-pen-crushes-macron

 

Following a historic loss to Marine Le Pen’s right-wing party in European elections on Sunday, French President Emmanuel Macron said he is dissolving the French parliament.

 

National Rally leader Jordan Bardella said Sunday’s results marked an “unprecedented rout for the powers that be,” adding that it was “day-one of the post-Macron era.”

 

Macron’s decision to call parliamentary elections opens the door for his party, which is deeply unpopular at the moment, to shed even more seats to rival parties in France’s National Assembly, the country’s lower house of Parliament.

 

 

 

The shocking news in France comes after Europe's right wing parties put on a show of strength in this weekend's EU elections, which also reinforced German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s position lagging two rival parties.

Sunday’s results still appeared to leave the mainstream pro-EU parties with a lock on power in Brussels, if only for the time being. The center-right EU political grouping that now leads the bloc looked set to win the most seats in the European Parliament, boosting European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s hopes of keeping her job for a second term. She has forged a close working relationship with the Biden administration.

 

Still, France’s far-right opposition party National Rally looked set to be among the pan-European election’s biggest winners. Marine Le Pen’s party is on target to become the largest single party in the European Parliament. Projections based on early ballot counts on Sunday evening suggested National Rally had gained roughly 31% of the vote, twice the support for Macron’s Renew Party.

 

After the French results, Macron announced he was dissolving parliament to call fresh elections. His party already lacked a majority in the National Assembly. The first round of the elections will take place June 30, followed by a second on July 7, Macron said.

 

As reported earlier, the Social Democratic Party of German chancellor Scholz also apparently faced a drubbing. According to national exit polls, it was running third behind the far-right Alternative for Germany and the clear winner, Germany’s opposition center-right alliance.

 

The elections, held from Thursday through Sunday, were for the 720 members of the European Parliament. Up to 370 million voters were eligible according to EU figures, although turnout in the elections is usually modest. While the European Parliament’s main powers are to approve or amend EU rules, laws and trade deals, the twice-decade vote offers a potent indicator of Europe’s political mood. The legislature also gets to approve the EU’s new leadership team.

 

As the WSJ notes, "Sunday’s results point to trouble for the EU leadership’s ability to pursue its environmental goals and indicate that pressure will mount to tighten migration rules under right-wing pressure. The vote is also likely to give a greater voice—at least within the parliament—to nationalist and left-wing critics of EU support for Ukraine."

[B-Man]

 

 

IT’S SATIRE, BUT IS IT?

 

 

 

[Crap Throwing Clavin]

22 minutes ago, B-Man said:

 

 

IT’S SATIRE, BUT IS IT?

 

 

 

 

No, it's not.

 

https://www.france24.com/en/france/20231208-french-prosecutores-order-le-pen-to-stand-trial-in-eu-funding-scandal